Research

The Health Care Transformation Hub elevates peer-reviewed and top-tier, reliable research from some of the leading researchers across the health care industry. Explore their findings and insights below.

JAMA Health Forum

Health Care Utilization and Spending in Medicare Advantage vs. Traditional Medicare: A Difference-in-Differences Analysis

A. Schwartz, K. Zlaoui, et. al  |  December 2021

This retrospective study compared health care utilization and spending between beneficiaries enrolled in Medicare Advantage plans and those enrolled in Traditional Medicare plans with a Medicare Supplement plan. The study looked at each group 1 year before vs. 1 year after their initial enrollment in Medicare. Findings showed that Medicare Advantage enrollees had fewer inpatient stays and a reduction in total spending equal to just 36% of the total spending in the Traditional Medicare cohort.

JAMA Network Open

Analysis of Value-Based Payment and Acute Care Use Among Medicare Advantage Beneficiaries

S. Gondi, Y. Li, et. al  |  March 2022

This study reviewed the association between value-based payment models and acute care use among Medicare Advantage beneficiaries. While there was no significant difference in acute care use between upside-only risk models and fee-for-service models, MA beneficiaries cared for under 2-sided risk models had lower rates of hospitalizations, observation stays and ED visits.

American Journal of Managed Care

Value-Based Contracting Innovated Medicare Advantage Healthcare Delivery and Improved Survival

A. Mandal, G. Tagomori, et. al  |  February 2017

This study compared two provider groups caring for statistically similar patient populations. One provider group was reimbursed through a fee-for-service model while the other group was reimbursed through a full-risk capitation model. Patients who received care from providers in the full-risk payment model had higher rates of office-based visits, fewer emergency department visits and fewer hospital admissions, saving ~$2 million per 1,000 enrollees. It also showed that intensifying office-based care for those with multiple comorbidities led to a 6% survival benefit and a ~33% lower hazard of death.

JAMA

Long-Term Spending of Accountable Care Organizations in the Medicare Shared Savings Program

A. Bond, Y. Civelek, et. al  |  April 2025

The formation of accountable care organizations (ACOs), where groups of clinicians and health care organizations assume responsibility for the quality and costs of attributed patients, led to meaningful reductions in health care spending. Average annual per-patient spending was $142 lower in the first three years and $294 lower over 6 years compared to non-ACO patients, leading to $4.1 billion to $8.1 billion in savings to Medicare between 2012 and 2019.

Health Affairs

Value-Based Purchasing Design and Effect: A Systematic Review and Analysis

A. Pandey, D. Eastman, et. al  |  June 2023

Among value-based purchasing contracts, higher-intensity programs — defined as upside-only or two-sided risk models — performed better on quality-process measures, quality-utilization measures and spending-reduction measures compared to lower-intensity programs such as prospective payments, bundled payments and pay-for-performance models.

Health Affairs

Can Alternative Payment Models And Value-Based Insurance Design Alter The Course Of Diabetes In The United States?

S. Wang, G. Weyer, et al.  |  June 2022

Higher-risk payment models, such as global payment and shared savings, showed greater improvements in diabetes quality metrics and process measures compared to lower-risk pay-for-performance models such as fee-for-service Medicare.

JAMA Health Forum

Comparison of Low Value Services Among Medicare Advantage and Traditional Medicare Beneficiaries

E. Boudreau, R. Schwartz, et al.  |  September 2022

This cross-sectional study found those enrolled in Medicare Advantage (MA) had lower rates of low-value care than those enrolled in Traditional Medicare (TM). The most significant reduction was seen when comparing MA beneficiaries in two-sided risk models to their TM counterparts. But even within MA, beneficiaries in two-sided risk arrangements received fewer low-value services than those in MA fee-for-service plans.

JAMA Health Forum

Comparison of Health Care Utilization by Medicare Advantage and Traditional Medicare Beneficiaries with Complex Care Needs

D. Drzayich Antol, R. Schwartz, et al.  |  October 2025

Beneficiaries enrolled in Medicare Advantage (MA) had lower rates of hospital stays, emergency department visits and 30-day readmissions compared to beneficiaries in Traditional Medicare, suggesting MA managed care activities may influence the nature and quality of care.

American Journal of Managed Care

Health Outcomes Under Full-Risk Medicare Advantage vs Traditional Medicare

K. Cohen, B. Vabson, et al.  |  May 2025

Peer-reviewed study showing Medicare Advantage enrollees whose physicians were under fully accountable models — taking full risk for the costs and quality of their care — have superior outcomes in 16 of 20 measures, including up to 43% fewer hospitalizations for patients with acute chronic conditions and 19% fewer avoidable ED visits.

American Journal of Managed Care

Potential Spillover Effects on Traditional Medicare When Physicians Bear Medicare Advantage Risk

B. Vabson, K. Cohen, et al.  |  February 2025

This study is the first to demonstrate the advantages of value-based care can extend — or “spill over” — beyond Medicare Advantage patients to other Medicare recipients. These benefits include fewer hospitalizations for chronic illnesses, fewer emergency visits, more wellness visits and better medication adherence.

JAMA Network Open

Medicare Risk Arrangement and Use and Outcomes Among Physician Groups

K. Cohen, B. Vabson, et al.  |  January 2025

This study compared Medicare Advantage (MA) enrollees who received care in two-sided value-based care arrangements with those who received care in fee-for-service MA. The findings demonstrate MA full-risk value-based care arrangements are associated with higher-quality clinical care and better health results than the traditional MA model.

Health Affairs

Differences In Use Of Services And Quality Of Care In Medicare Advantage And Traditional Medicare, 2010 And 2017

B. Landon, A. Zaslavsky, et al.  |  April 2023

This analysis compared Medicare Advantage (MA) HMO and PPO data and traditional Medicare data across a range of established quality and utilization measures. The authors found MA plans delivered superior clinical quality, improved patient-reported outcomes and lower utilization of health services compared to traditional Medicare.

Health Affairs

Comparing Medicare Advantage And Traditional Medicare: A Systematic Review

R. Agarwal, J. Connolly, et al.  |  June 2021

A literature review comparing Medicare Advantage (MA) to traditional Medicare. MA plans outperformed traditional Medicare in almost all areas of analysis, including higher rates of preventive visits, fewer ED visits and higher breast cancer screening rates.

JAMA Network Open

Comparison of Care Quality Metrics in 2-Sided Risk Medicare Advantage vs Fee-for-Service Medicare Programs

K. Cohen, O. Ameli, et al.  |  December 2022

This study compared Optum patients in fully accountable Medicare Advantage plans with a national random sample of administrative claims data for patients served by traditional Medicare fee-for-service. In every metric examined, the health of patients in Optum’s care model showed statistically significant improvements.

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